The Cold War - The War That Wasn't
Thousands of books, acres of newsprint and
uncountable hours of TV and radio time have
been devoted to the origins, character and
eventual conclusion of one of the most epic
confrontations of all time: the Cold War.
From the 5th of March 1946 when Winston Churchill
declared that an Iron Curtain had descended
across Europe until the 9th of November 1989
when its concrete manifestation in Berlin
was torn down the world was pitched into
a titanic struggle between two superpower
empires. For good or bad the life of everyone
on the planet was touched in a global contest
for supremacy that would determine the history
of the foreseeable future; indeed it would
determine whether the world would have a
future. The Cold War between America and
Russia could so easily have turned into the
ultimate Hot War. Life on earth might have
vanished in a nuclear Armageddon. But it
didn’t.
In historical terms the Cold War was a non-event.
The terrorist attacks of 9/11 have been described
by Niall Ferguson, in a phrase borrowed from
A J P Taylor, as “the turning point
at which history failed to turn”. Similarly
the Cold War was the war that wasn’t.
Even the episode that came closest to realising
the nuclear nightmare, the Cuban Missile
Crisis, served only to illustrate that neither
empire had the appetite for the ultimate
confrontation. The United States positioned
missiles in Turkey threatening Russian cities
across the border and Russia retaliated by
shipping missiles to Cuba within range of
American cities. For a few tense days both
sides thumped the table but at the last minutes
President Kennedy agreed to remove his missiles
from Turkey and the Russian ships turned
back.
The historically important developments of
the second half of the twentieth century
had virtually nothing to do with the Cold
War. Advances in technology, the growing
gap between poor and rich, the emergence
of feminism, the re-emergence of religious
fundamentalism, the revolution in communications,
the continued growth and evolution of corporatism:
none of these were triggered by the Cold
War. Only in the unravelling of the old European
colonial empires did the conflict between
the United States and Russia play a noticeable
although essentially insignificant part.
In geopolitical terms the outstanding feature
of the period was the awesome global spread
of American commercial and political control;
Russia was as irrelevant to this process
as Britain or France.
Russia pretended to be a superpower, a pretence
endorsed by the United States, but the reality
was very different. Soviet leaders gave opportunistic
support to radical movements from Cuba to
Angola, the KGB scurried around the world
to little effect funding a host of terrorist
groups from Ireland to Iraq and arranging
occasional assassinations but apart from
a miserable attempt to colonise Afghanistan
- repeating the dramatic mistakes of the
British a century before - the Red Army did
no more than act as a police force in its
new eastern European possessions. Unlike
America Russia had no overseas commercial
interests to protect or resources it wanted
to control. In the two most bloody "confrontations"
of the period, in Korea and Vietnam, the
Red Army was noticeable for its absence.
By the end of the century US corporations
had penetrated almost every corner of the
globe and American troops were sprinkled
across the world while the Russian Empire
hovered close to collapse.
With the benefit of hindsight it is clear
that the outstanding feature of Russian history
in the last half of the twentieth century
was the doomed attempt first to consolidate
the territories seized at the end of the
Second World War into the Russian empire
and then more fundamentally to maintain the
empire itself. By contrast the outstanding
feature of American history was the success
of American corporations, reinforced by the
covert and overt might of the State, in expanding
and deepening the commercial empire of the
United States. It is now evident that in
both cases the most crucial developments
were within the two empires and yet perceptions
at the time were dominated by the Cold War
between them. It was not the weakening bonds
that held the Soviet Empire together or the
massive capital flows within the American
empire that captured the attention of contemporary
observers but the bellicose pronouncements
of politicians on both sides of the Iron
Curtain and, above all, two full scale wars
in Asia - wars that seemed so very much more
significant than history proved them to be.
The Korean and Vietnamese civil wars have
been presented as America battling the Russo-Chinese
Communist Empire but of the ten million people
who died - half of them civilians - around
92,000, less than one in a hundred, were
American. American bodies dominated the TV
screens but not the graveyards. In both cases
the conflicts were essentially civil wars
between local dictators made horrifically
worse by outside intervention.
The former Japanese colony of Korea was occupied
by accident when the atomic bomb suddenly
ended the Second World War: US troops diverted
from invading Japan landed in the south and
Russian troops diverted from invading Manchuria
entered from the north. They met at the 38th
parallel and partitioned the country, installing
two dictators obsessed with toppling each
other.
At first Stalin simply told his protégé
to shut up and America helped replace its
first protégé with a more moderate
version. Then in 1950 Stalin decided that
action on the eastern front might distract
attention from his antics in Europe and marginally
increase his empire. North Korean forces
rolled across the border sweeping all before
them. Having lost all but the south eastern
tip of the Korean peninsula America and its
allies responded with a flash of military
genius when General MacArthur landed his
forces at Inchon far to the north, cutting
off the enemy advance and then pushing the
North Koreans right back to the Chinese border.
At this point Stalin apparently gave up and
accepted that a pro-American Korea would
sit on his frontier. However Russia and America
were not the only imperial powers in the
region. Mao Tse Tung persuaded Stalin to
continue and Chinese forces streamed across
the border. Over three years 600,000 Chinese
and countless Koreans died in a war which
eventually changed nothing. In 1953 the two
war-weary sides signed an armistice that
left the country just as it had been when
the war started.
The Korean War accelerated the division of
the world into Russian and American camps.
The Russian camp was an empire in all but
name, albeit with China having a dominion-like
status reminiscent of the role of Canada
or Australia in the British Empire. The American
camp was not an empire in the traditional
sense and the United States was anxious for
it not to be seen as one, preferring to describe
its realm as "the Free World".
The Orwellian nature of this term soon became
apparent when, during the Korean War, the
US established military bases in Morocco,
Libya, Saudi Arabia and fascist Spain none
of whose regimes stood for “freedom”
as understood by Thomas Paine and the Founding
Fathers. To show how far America's ideology
had moved on since its own revolution against
colonial authority military aid was given
to France to suppress the attempted revolution
in its colony of Vietnam.
In Vietnam a scenario similar to Korea was
played out with a different final act. Vietnamese
partisans, the Vietminh, fought against the
Japanese who invaded their country during
the Second World War and then against the
French who tried to reassert control afterwards.
Once the French were expelled the Communist-controlled
Vietminh took control of the North and -
now rechristened Viet Cong - fought to topple
the regime the French had left in the South.
Once again two dictatorships battled for
control.
The first American to die in Vietnam was
fighting not against the Viet Cong but with
them (or more correctly with the Vietminh).
He was a military adviser working for the
OSS (fore-runner of the CIA) training the
guerrillas to resist the Japanese occupiers.
During the Korean Civil War America swapped
sides in Vietnam and gave massive but ineffective
aid to the French. Russia remained wholly
committed to the Vietminh and encouraged
their guerrilla war in the south. When US
troops entered the war Russia redoubled its
logistical support but stopped short of committing
its own forces. In the end the United States
was defeated not by the military might of
the Communist Empire but by the stubborn
resistance of the North Vietnamese leadership
and its supporters in the south.
The Korean and Vietnamese Wars are remarkable
not as manifestations of the Cold War but
as examples of the futility of the traditional
military model of imperial control. Ten million
people died in Korea and Vietnam in wars
that had no lasting global significance.
In 1968 the Tet or Lunar New Year was celebrated
by a North Vietnamese offensive that heralded
the beginning of the end for the US military
occupation of South Vietnam. In 2002 Tet
was celebrated in a very different way -
by baking a gigantic 1,400 gram rice cake
that garnered a place in the Guinness Book
of Records for its fifty cooks and acres
of positive publicity for the sponsor: Coca-Cola.
The tentacles of American corporations and
financial institutions have proved far more
effective in changing the face of Vietnam
than helicopter gunships and napalm.
Although the political rhetoric continued
and even heated up after the Vietnam War
US corporations were acting far more pragmatically.
Even as Reagan thundered against the “Evil
Empire” US business was doing its best
to maintain that empire’s economic
well-being. The Soviet Union developed the
world’s largest iron and steel plant
- constructed by the American McKee Corporation
– and Europe’s largest tube and
pipe mill – again built largely with
American equipment and technology. The period
saw the full flowering of the commercial
empire that had started to emerge after the
Spanish-American War. The failure of military
intervention in Vietnam seemed for a time
to show the wisdom of moving away from the
older, cruder imperial traditions that Russia
continued to follow.
In 1956 Russian demonstrated that its commitment
to traditional imperialism was as strong
as ever when protests in Hungary turned into
full scale war. 6,000 soviet tanks supported
by artillery and air strikes smashed an attempt
to stage a popular uprising. Possibly as
many as three thousand Hungarians died as
well as over seven hundred Russians; two
hundred thousand refugees fled to the west.
Left wing historians have portrayed the uprising
as the workers trying to build genuine socialism
to replace the travesty of Stalinism; American
commentators saw it as a battle to replace
socialism with democracy. The truth is that
most Hungarians were simply fighting to achieve
freedom from Russian rule; as in Czechoslovakia
twelve years later the struggle was against
imperialism not for any particular political
doctrine. It was a sign of the pressures
forever bubbling across Russia’s empire.
The Red Army was ready to crush colonial
dissent but heating up the Cold War was not
on the Kremlin’s agenda.
In both Korea and Vietnam America showed
itself to be far more adventurous militarily
than Russia, committing hundreds of thousands
of troops. The Red Army stayed away even
when in October 1950 two US Air Force planes
“accidentally” attacked a Russian
airfield near Vladivostok, the first American
attack on Russia since American troops had
withdrawn from Vladivostok thirty years earlier
after failing to hold the Trans Siberian
railway. (The two pilots were court-martialled
but acquitted).
Stalin’s one direct intervention in
the Korean War was to send Russian fighter
pilots into combat. As he was insisting that
the conflict was a spontaneous popular uprising
in which the Soviet Union played no part
the pilots flew planes bearing North Korean
markings and were told to speak to each other
in Korean in case they were overheard by
American eavesdroppers - a ludicrously impractical
instruction that involved taping phrasebook
pages inside the cockpits and an instruction
that was usually forgotten in the heat of
combat. Even more absurd were attempts by
the United States to keep secret its blanket
bombing of neutral Cambodia during the Vietnam
War – as if the enemy might not have
noticed the bombs raining down on them; only
the American electorate were kept in ignorance.
In some ways more surprising than such episodes
is that both sides managed to hide so much
from each other. In 1995 President Clinton
ordered the release of thousands of documents
relating to the Cold War including a C.I.A.
assessment dated 12th October 1950 concluding
that Chinese intervention in the Korean War
was "not probable in 1950." Just
two weeks later 300,000 Chinese troops crossed
into Korea. (Clinton’s action caused
immense dismay inside the CIA; despite having
been freely available for six years the Bush
administration had the reports reclassified
and removed from the public archives in a
deliberate attempt to rewrite history.) The
KGB were no more successful in understanding
their enemy. Just two weeks before America’s
final ignominious exodus from Vietnam the
KGB leader Yuri Andropv warned that the US
might win the war by launching an Inchon-style
assault deep into North Vietnam.
The main reason for such intelligence failures
was that both the CIA and KGB devoted most
of their attention not to spying across the
Iron Curtain but to policing their own empires.
Much of their intelligence came from brutal
secret police forces like the AVH in Hungary
or SAVAK in Iran who inevitably focused primarily
on domestic dissent. Rhetoric might
fly between the empires but action was centred
within them. The CIA was more concerned with
Central America than Central Europe.